UT Grand Rounds visuals
Slide 2: surveillance and action timeline
Slide 4: U.S. influenza surveillance systems
Slide 10: surveillance synthesis matrix
Slide 11: normalized surveillance overlay
Slide 12: FluSight forecasts and hospital planning
Slide 13: FluSight forecast targets
Slide 14: A forecast is a distribution
Slide 15: Forecast targets and scoring
Slide 17: Borrowing history from outpatient surveillance
Slide 18: From separate models to shared learning
Slide 19: Texas hospitalization forecasts
Slide 20: Additional surveillance signals
Slide 21: Texas forecasts with wastewater lags
Slide 24: Vaccination timing and remaining burden
Slide 25: Plausible seasons and waning scenarios
Slide 26: The primary model favors weeks 47–48
Slide 27: Timing changes how much protection we keep
Slide 28: The answer depends on how protection wanes
Slide 29: A later date only helps if vaccination still happens